Gartner the omniscient

This in reference to the recent HMRC breach…

However, [Gartner VP Avivah] Litan warned that the chance of identity theft was actually small, at just 1%.

Digitaltrends.com

The probability of this estimate being scientifically defensible is 0.00%.
I’ll have something to say about learning (for real) from the HMRC breach in a soon-to-come post.